Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.004361 0.004593 0.004832 0.005096 0.005380 0.005676 0.006009
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.003967 0.004314 0.004687 0.005118 0.005604 0.006137 0.006770
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.003797 0.004222 0.004693 0.005254 0.005911 0.006659 0.007583
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003558 0.004023 0.004548 0.005191 0.005963 0.006870 0.008026
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003372 0.003866 0.004435 0.005147 0.006021 0.007074 0.008456
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003202 0.003714 0.004314 0.005078 0.006037 0.007218 0.008809
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003127 0.003670 0.004317 0.005156 0.006231 0.007585 0.009461
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003022 0.003583 0.004261 0.005153 0.006317 0.007816 0.009941
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002912 0.003483 0.004181 0.005114 0.006351 0.007973 0.010325
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002787 0.003359 0.004065 0.005021 0.006306 0.008019 0.010552
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002681 0.003254 0.003969 0.004947 0.006281 0.008087 0.010810
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002617 0.003200 0.003935 0.004954 0.006364 0.008305 0.011293
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002479 0.003047 0.003769 0.004777 0.006187 0.008153 0.011223
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002427 0.003005 0.003747 0.004797 0.006287 0.008399 0.011770
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002419 0.003020 0.003802 0.004922 0.006539 0.008879 0.012710
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002344 0.002943 0.003728 0.004864 0.006524 0.008958 0.013017
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002280 0.002878 0.003669 0.004824 0.006530 0.009069 0.013379
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002211 0.002805 0.003596 0.004761 0.006500 0.009122 0.013646
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002192 0.002800 0.003616 0.004832 0.006673 0.009497 0.014482
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002150 0.002760 0.003587 0.004829 0.006733 0.009695 0.015024
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002099 0.002707 0.003536 0.004793 0.006739 0.009804 0.015414
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002034 0.002634 0.003455 0.004708 0.006663 0.009777 0.015553
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001978 0.002571 0.003387 0.004641 0.006614 0.009788 0.015762